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Janaki Joshi
August 16, 2019

Workshop on Decision Making Using Cynefin Model

Agile frameworks are designed to function along the boundary of Complex and​
Complicated.

The word “Cynefin”, pronounced ki–neh-vin, is a Welsh word that cannot be directly translated into English. ​However, it is commonly translated as ‘habitat’ or ‘place’ and means a place of multiple belongings. ​It explains about ‘Who we are’.​ We are all rooted in many different pasts which profoundly influence who we are, but of which we are only partially aware. i.e. geographic, tribal, religious, cultural, etc.

 

Cynefin was first developed by Dave Snowden in 1999 in the context of knowledge management and organisational strategy. Cynefin is a decision framework that recognizes the causal differences that exist between different types of systems, proposing new approaches to decision making in complex social environments. ​

Cynefin is a sense-making model, not a categorization model. In a categorization model, the framework precedes the data. This is good for exploitation but not exploration. ​​In a sense-making model the data precedes the framework, making it good for exploration.​

Types of systems involved in Cynefin are; (Relating to Gaming Analogy)​

 Simple – tic tac toe​

Complicated  — Chess (about expertise to analyze and Predicting) ​

Complex – Poker (game about learning)​

Chaotic — ​

Disorder ​

 

 

Simple Domain:

In the simple domain we are in an ordered system where the relationship between cause and effect exists, is predictable in advance and is self evident or obvious to any reasonable person.​
​
We apply best practices and the approach is to:-​
SENSE — CATEGORISE — RESPOND​
Sense           – See what’s coming in​
Categorize  – Make it fit predetermined categories​
Respond     – Decide what to do​

 

Complicated Domain

In the complicated domain we have an ordered system where there is a right answer and where a relationship does exist between cause and effect, however, the answer is not self-evident and requires analysis and/or the application of expert knowledge. There can be several different ways of doing things in this domain, with the right expertise.​
​
We apply good practice and the approach is to:-​
SENSE — ANALYSE — RESPOND​
Sense      – See what’s coming in​
Analyse  – Investigate or analyse, using expert knowledge​
Respond – Decide what to do

 

Complex Domain

In the complex domain we have unorder where the relationship between cause and effect can only be perceived in retrospect and the results are unpredictable. ​
Complex systems are therefore dispositional and not causal. Here, we need to create safe to fail experiments and not attempt to create fail safe design. We cannot solve complex problems with best or good practices alone. While conducting safe to fail experiments, we must dampen the parts that fail and amplify the parts that succeed. In this domain we get emergent order and practice that is often unique.​
​
Emergent practice, behavior or order results and the approach is to:-​
PROBE — SENSE — RESPOND​
Probe      – Experimental input​
Sense      – Failures or successes​
Respond – Decide what to do ie. amplify or dampen

 

Chaotic Domain

In the chaotic domain no cause and effect relationship can be determined. We have to stabilize the position very quickly!​
​
We discover novel practice and the approach is to:-​
ACT — SENSE — RESPOND​
Act           – Attempt to stabilize​
Sense      – Failures or successes​
Respond – Decide what to do next

 

Domain Of Disorder

This domain includes the state of not knowing what type of causality exists or what space you are in. ​
We don’t know which of the domain we are in​. The problem here is that we interpret and assess the situation we are in based on our personal preference for action, reverting to our own comfort zones.

 

We did the workshop on decision making model of Cynefin, A key element of achieving goal is planning. To plan better we did the workshop on how decision making relates to Agile planning principles and practices using Cynefin Model. Here are some pictures from the workshop.

http://janakijoshi.com.np/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/20190725_130707.mp4
http://janakijoshi.com.np/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/20190725_130604.mp4

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